Polymarket Trader

0x2181a6e920Fc0254eF07db2d957C8E0c9a779638-1778511342700

0x2181a6e920fc0254ef07db2d957c8e0c9a779638

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.99
Realized PnL: -$39.47
Win rate: 5.9%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $145.57
Potential profit: $145.06
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 48.9%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $8.52
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.6B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $9.44
Potential profit: $9.31
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $4.61
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.4%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Anthropic + OpenAI position

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Monte position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.6B?

Yes 17.8% 9.44 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.8% 2.63 shares
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 18.6% 4.16 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 5.81 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 145.57 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares