No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $32.98
- Potential payout
- $137.42
- Potential profit
- $104.44
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
0x21820eD5dfB2A9ec0D13A3Ab1768c4cc9f6b897f-1771230941956
0x21820ed5dfb2a9ec0d13a3ab1768c4cc9f6b897f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.2
- Realized PnL
- $46.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $62.92
- Potential payout
- $76.27
- Potential profit
- $13.35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $17.92
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $57.72
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.72
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $28.49
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $33.25
- Potential profit
- $25.77
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 30.1% 33.25 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 23.9% 137.42 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes 59% 76.27 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?No 53% 37.74 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?No 61% 32.79 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 59.7% 26.77 shares