Polymarket Trader

zeroi

@zeroibtc

0x2194ba875ef269b7bb17821aef0b86549ea2bec0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $375.16
Realized PnL: $609.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $335.53
Potential payout: $379.13
Potential profit: $43.6
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $36.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$9.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.13
Potential profit: $33.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $24.56
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.52
Potential profit: $23.52
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $15.07
Potential payout: $17.13
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.51
Potential profit: $8.51
User PnL: -$3.32

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.54

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.39

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.3

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.62

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $23.71

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.91

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 79% 379.13 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 99.8% 299.99 shares
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Yes 87.6% 17.13 shares
Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

No 98.5% 17.26 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 92.7% 299.99 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 79% 296.37 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.2% 240.15 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 29.41 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

No 49% 10.2 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 53% 9.43 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares