Polymarket Trader

sebichon11

0x219aacd619bb7a91942cbea8dc366eea2b31656a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $263.26
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$29.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.23
Potential profit: $639.23
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $47.39
Potential payout: $615.43
Potential profit: $568.04
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $30.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.38
Potential profit: $519.38
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $488.82
Potential profit: $488.82
User PnL: -$16.62

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.37
Potential profit: $405.37
User PnL: -$16.62

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.68
Potential profit: $218.68
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.65
Potential profit: $180.65
User PnL: -$8.31

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.94
Potential profit: $162.94
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.78
Potential profit: $147.78
User PnL: -$13.3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $34.58
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $106.27
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: $26.27

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.85
Potential profit: $127.85
User PnL: -$16.62

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.3
Potential profit: $96.3
User PnL: -$16.62

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $11.15
Potential payout: $84.8
Potential profit: $73.65
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.25
Potential profit: $69.25
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50.14
Potential profit: $50.02
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $7.82
Potential payout: $47.25
Potential profit: $39.43
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.96
Potential payout: $45.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $29.34

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.74
Potential profit: $43.74
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $34.06
Potential profit: $26.14
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.96
Potential payout: $32.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.84
Potential payout: $31.84
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $23.53

Elena Rybakina position

Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.74
Potential payout: $23.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.79
Potential payout: $19.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.7% 615.43 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 17.6% 47.25 shares
Netanyahu out by April 30?

Yes 4.1% 405.37 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.8% 84.8 shares
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Yes 4.6% 180.65 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.4% 34.06 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Yes 1.6% 519.38 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?

Yes 67% 12.4 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 3.8% 218.68 shares
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula

Elena Rybakina 35% 23.74 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 51% 16.29 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Yes 13% 127.85 shares