No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $130.92
- Potential payout
- $188.41
- Potential profit
- $57.48
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Polymarket Trader
GalyaIskra
0x219cf7a1c2ff1640de9a374baebc3f438aadf943
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $259.6
- Realized PnL
- $0.87
- Win rate
- 56.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $128.68
- Potential payout
- $172.73
- Potential profit
- $44.05
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $63.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.91
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Solana reach $80 on April 2?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.45
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.7
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$107.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 99.9% 54.42 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 54.43 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 77% 172.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 69% 188.41 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.7% 153.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 103.33 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 64.1% 154.06 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 153.66 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 163.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 103.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 43.3% 186.07 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70% 163.57 shares