Polymarket Trader

B10B

0x219f8e2f71441e78c763f938a34a4f943c96dbd9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.75
Realized PnL: $935.11
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.95
Potential profit: $443.95
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336
Potential profit: $336
User PnL: -$10.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.05
Potential profit: $332.05
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.94
Potential profit: $199.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$20.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $54.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $95.25
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $32.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 58% 199.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 144 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 3% 224 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 388.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 270 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 400 shares