woshiwudixiaokeai

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $606.76
Potential profit: $604.64
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$10.17

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 10 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $229.8
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.67
Potential profit: $216.67
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $17.35
Potential payout: $215.56
Potential profit: $198.2
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $185.96
Potential profit: $183.73
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.43
Potential profit: $171.43
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.95
Potential profit: $146.95
User PnL: -$18.76

Yes position

Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$12.5

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.6

Yes position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $39.22

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $25.72

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $6.97

BESTIA Academy position

Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?