Polymarket Trader

bal-aur

0x21a5a5d7978ab307e2060ec89cd38d050edb5aac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $585.55
Realized PnL: $8.72K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.44K
Potential profit: $27.44K
User PnL: -$3.21K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $137.07
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $981.89
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$36.19

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $229.98
Potential payout: $901.87
Potential profit: $671.89
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $13.53

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $50.85
Potential payout: $224
Potential profit: $173.15
Multiplier: 4.41x
User PnL: -$44.91

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $66.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $133.3
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $34.3

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.95
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $37.32

Yes position

Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01K

Dan position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $225.56

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108

PSG position

Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.09

Yes position

Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.13

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.72

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 63% 101 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Yes 19% 19.15 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 101.64 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Yes 56% 78.75 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.9% 199.99 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 49.99 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.6% 289.53 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.5% 24 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 350 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.7% 76.74 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.8% 397.27 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.9% 331.42 shares