Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $24.32
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Polymarket Trader
trader-21a6cf50
0x21a6cf5059c850ec25c296f2db02b5dac6dc7442
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.24K
- Realized PnL
- $2.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $11.76
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$88.84
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $366.09
- Potential payout
- $484.89
- Potential profit
- $118.8
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $186.68
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $180.26
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $82.89
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$19.74
No position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $181.37
- Potential payout
- $248.46
- Potential profit
- $67.08
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$18.63
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $194.57
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $210.03
- Potential profit
- $205.3
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$110.34
No position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $147.9
- Potential payout
- $190.84
- Potential profit
- $42.94
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $65.76
- Potential payout
- $173.05
- Potential profit
- $107.29
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$64.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $148.65
- Potential payout
- $159.33
- Potential profit
- $10.67
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $110.64
- Potential payout
- $152.61
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.8
No position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $95.69
- Potential payout
- $143.89
- Potential profit
- $48.2
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.1%
- Current value
- $79.12
- Potential payout
- $127.51
- Potential profit
- $48.39
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$21.47
No position
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $87.09
- Potential payout
- $110.24
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $67.9
- Potential payout
- $75.03
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $68.75
- Potential payout
- $72.33
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $57.95
- Potential payout
- $66.99
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $51.21
- Potential payout
- $61.32
- Potential profit
- $10.12
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $56.12
- Potential payout
- $60.02
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $49.45
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $50.81
- Potential payout
- $54.92
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $50.87
- Potential payout
- $54.64
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $49.16
- Potential payout
- $52.8
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $44.06
- Potential payout
- $51.84
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.83
Evil Geniuses Academy position
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.14
XLG Gaming position
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.92
Under position
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.31
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.84
ROSE position
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.32
Over position
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.04
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.98
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.22
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.59
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.66
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.73
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.68
Monte position
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
Team Evictix position
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.54
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.63
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.53
Over position
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.38
Over position
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.28
Over position
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.27
Over position
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.14
Team Falcons position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.84
Over position
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93.8% 39.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93.8% 13.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 94.2% 53.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 94.5% 52.91 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No 91.8% 6.55 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 93% 6.61 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 99.5% 121.9 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 11.87 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 7.12 shares
- World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?No 91.5% 54.64 shares
- World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?No 80% 22 shares