Polymarket Trader

proposal123

0x21b48e8e2daa01f531fff08b62f2b4df6cff1f06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.94K
Realized PnL: $177.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Kristian Thorstvedt: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $900
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $955.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $44.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$43.23

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $998.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$349.65

WBT Academy position

Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Spectrum (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $59.15
Potential payout: $65.69
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$6.47

Yes position

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $29.24
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump post "Dad" or "Daddy" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will "Gold" or "Golden" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Drake have 3+ albums in the Billboard 200 top 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Under position

Paskauskas vs. Seye: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Under position

Paskauskas vs. Seye: Match O/U 22.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Yes position

Will Bennie Thompson be the Democratic nominee for MS-02?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

No position

Exact Score: FC Nantes 0 - 3 Toulouse FC?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Kathryn Hahn win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ shots

Yes 99.9% 30 shares
Kristian Thorstvedt: 1+ goals

No 99.9% 1,000 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists

No 99.9% 50 shares
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assists

Yes 99.9% 50 shares
David Møller Wolfe: 1+ goals + assists

Yes 99.9% 50 shares
Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Spectrum (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

WBT Academy 99.9% 65.69 shares
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

No 99.8% 1,000 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists

Yes 99.9% 50 shares
Marko Farji: 2+ goals

No 99.9% 50 shares
Patrick Berg: 2+ goals

No 99.9% 50 shares
Meme: 1+ goals

No 99.9% 50 shares
Kevin Yakob: 2+ goals

No 99.9% 50 shares