Yes position
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$236.52
Polymarket Trader
PedroGonzales
0x21bac188598c79a827cd54c2db710775a49f408f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.59K
- Realized PnL
- $6.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $252
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$727.99
No position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $333.73
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $16.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $23.73
No position
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $195.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.4
No position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $22.01
- Potential payout
- $100.03
- Potential profit
- $78.02
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.48
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.72
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.13
Yes position
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.68
Yes position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.07
No position
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.46
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $391.2
Yes position
1,550+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.13
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.7
Yes position
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183
Yes position
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.06
No position
More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.33
No position
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.5
No position
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.81
Yes position
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Yes position
1,600+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.06
Yes position
Biden seen in public before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.77
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.84
No position
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.7
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 56% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 88% 150 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 22.8% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 400 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 88% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 57% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 200 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 48.9% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 88% 700 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 150 shares