Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $472.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.1
Polymarket Trader
stragsdfasegbaes
0x21bcd9744b7916bff56037afac12201dc2e34681
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $397.63
- Realized PnL
- -$0.33
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $157.94
- Potential payout
- $237.5
- Potential profit
- $79.56
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.85
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $69.73
- Potential payout
- $202.18
- Potential profit
- $132.45
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $102.46
- Potential payout
- $125.94
- Potential profit
- $23.49
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $69.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.92
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.03
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$81.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 79.7% 125.5 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 67% 87 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 66% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 207.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 180.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 48.62 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 35.4% 56.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 193.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 93.15 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.4% 125.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 73% 273.97 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 87% 40 shares