Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $20.5K
- Potential payout
- $241.12K
- Potential profit
- $220.62K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
Polymarket Trader
AlexCimmeria
0x21c7435f543b763dd65a594a08928bc80d81191a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.38K
- Realized PnL
- $38.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $304.2
- Potential payout
- $46.8K
- Potential profit
- $46.5K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$696.71
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.07K
- Potential profit
- $29.07K
- User PnL
- -$87.21
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.2K
- Potential profit
- $17.2K
- User PnL
- -$199.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.07K
- Potential profit
- $14.07K
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.8K
- Potential profit
- $12.8K
- User PnL
- -$200.21
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $10.13K
- Potential profit
- $7.95K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $162.05
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$6.04K
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.43K
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5K
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $36
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$468
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- User PnL
- -$513.97
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $6.54K
- User PnL
- -$180.98
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $6.3K
- User PnL
- -$100.8
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$100.79
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- User PnL
- -$401.98
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- User PnL
- -$948.29
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $936
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$72
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$100.7
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- User PnL
- -$397.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $876.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $614.81
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $600.2
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $548.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.51
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Yes 3% 4,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 12.9% 394.68 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 6.8% 4,000 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 64,568.86 shares
- Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk 82% 1,200 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 75.9% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 4,106.93 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 2,083.71 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 21% 1,262.27 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 13% 4,000 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 1,500 shares