Polymarket Trader

LLLivesky

@oxsuisky

0x21ca71dc68ef1496fef364d3bd9a73905dd9450a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $249.4
Realized PnL: $16.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $249.4
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 9.81x
User PnL: $78.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $949.99
Potential profit: $949.99
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547
Potential profit: $547
User PnL: -$97.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547
Potential profit: $547
User PnL: -$108.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417
Potential profit: $417
User PnL: -$125.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.75
Potential profit: $175.75
User PnL: -$47.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $847.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $726.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $390

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $359.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $342

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $256

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 57% 175 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 98.7% 177.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 98.7% 177.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 65.8% 1,064.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 83.5% 534.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 98.4% 450.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 13.2% 1,923.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.9% 267.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 69.2% 267.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 88.4% 119.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 51.5% 119.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 15.6% 286.26 shares