No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $26.36K
- Potential payout
- $28.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $61.86
Polymarket Trader
DEGENKHAN
@DegenPolyKhan
0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.72K
- Realized PnL
- $54.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $26.78K
- Potential payout
- $26.99K
- Potential profit
- $215.94
- User PnL
- $259.05
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $18.71K
- Potential payout
- $20.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $160.42
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $15.58K
- Potential payout
- $16.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $104.55
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.33K
- Potential payout
- $11.16K
- Potential profit
- $837.36
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $9.41K
- Potential profit
- $7.58K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $127.36
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $8.48K
- Potential payout
- $8.81K
- Potential profit
- $330.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $26.23
No position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $6.71K
- Potential payout
- $7.29K
- Potential profit
- $583.16
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $57.18
No position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.56K
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $688.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$66.7
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $6.33K
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $386.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $454.84
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $654.56
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $6.26K
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $47.29
- User PnL
- $88.95
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $6.11K
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $71.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $175.9
No position
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $4.8K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$538.83
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.34K
- Potential payout
- $5.78K
- Potential profit
- $433.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $28.89
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $4.6K
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $510.95
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $93.59
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $475.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$18.51
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.95K
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $896.8
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$71.18
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$207.49
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $25.9
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$69.98
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $4.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$155.07
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.56K
- User PnL
- -$996.05
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.16K
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $386.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $22.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
Yes position
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Will Biden resign before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will Biden resign in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $974.66
No position
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.95
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- $945.98
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.6
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.72
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.63
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $896.11
No position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.39
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 8.6% 443.75 shares
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.3% 715.41 shares
- Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 99.1% 747 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No 99.2% 69.25 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.7% 241.47 shares
- Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?No 98.7% 190.35 shares
- Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 2.7% 32 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 32% 6.06 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 4,500 shares
- Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 0.5% 134.07 shares
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 48.4% 156.92 shares
- RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No 46.5% 31.53 shares