No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.82K
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- User PnL
- $162.57
Polymarket Trader
bigshort
@xingzhn80640983
0x21d5d6326f480863e1d00c5d52bba19d9cec9925
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.07K
- Realized PnL
- $15.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $215.37
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $145.6
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $635.39
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$297.81
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $316.29
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $120.14
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $659.66
- Potential payout
- $703.64
- Potential profit
- $43.98
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $394.99
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $494.74
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $319.94
- Potential payout
- $496.03
- Potential profit
- $176.09
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$7.44
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $201.87
- Potential payout
- $206.31
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $72.99
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $126.99
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$56.99
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $960
No position
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.67
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.73
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.19
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.03
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.18
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.43
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.39
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $395.93
No position
Yoon released from custody before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.79
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.6
No position
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.39
No position
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.42
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.61
No position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.06
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.02
Y
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.65
No position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.11
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 33% 27.93 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 39% 60 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 38% 70 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 98.1% 130.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 49.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 49.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.3% 122.64 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 87.5% 22.4 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 85.1% 52.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.2% 100 shares