Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Polymarket Trader
0x21de...b290
0x21de102b18fb14521f37e9cfd00e40fce523b290
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$5.85
- Win rate
- 70.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will MAS-IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Only Murders in the Building win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Mederos position
Mederos vs. Oki
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 98.8% 19.93 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 95% 10.12 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes 98.9% 9.63 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?No 94.7% 5.59 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?No 96.7% 5.58 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?No 96.5% 5.6 shares
- Will Only Murders in the Building win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?No 99.5% 8.44 shares
- Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?No 96.5% 5.59 shares
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No 99.6% 465.07 shares
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 465.07 shares
- Will MAS-IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?No 98.3% 5.91 shares
- Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No 96.5% 6.01 shares