Polymarket Trader

0x21e7...ca91

0x21e79af6eb2f30e7184aa88e4e8106a11da8ca91

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $226.34
Realized PnL: $582.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $35.89
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.19K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $30.89
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $27.21
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$9.79

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $26.1
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $30.94
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $26.67
Potential payout: $730.76
Potential profit: $704.09
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $568.96
Potential profit: $548.82
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$12.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.83
Potential profit: $116.83
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.89
Potential profit: $77.89
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.93
Potential profit: $51.93
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $50.51
User PnL: -$18.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.07
Potential profit: $50.07
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $46.67
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.53
Potential profit: $41.53
User PnL: -$18.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.65
Potential profit: $36.65
User PnL: -$18.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.95
Potential profit: $35.95
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.95
Potential profit: $35.95
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.05
Potential profit: $35.05
User PnL: -$14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.61
Potential profit: $34.61
User PnL: -$18.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.94

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.24

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.9% 1,672.63 shares
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 3,634.44 shares
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 3,271 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 76% 9.22 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 64% 10.95 shares
HYPE Up or Down - July 1, 8PM ET

Down 93% 7.54 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Up 85% 8.25 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up 82% 8.55 shares
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 3,271 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Down 74% 9.47 shares
HYPE Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET

Up 82% 8.55 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 90% 7.79 shares