Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $28.37
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Polymarket Trader
0x21ef...c270
0x21ef11a417cd0948845b50ac033c8f8f761fc270
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $65.78
- Realized PnL
- $0.09
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $11.56
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $6.81
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.66x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 29.7% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.3% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 15% 13 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 14 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 93% 7 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 87.7% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.2% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 89% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 11% 18 shares