Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $464.12
- Potential payout
- $667.9
- Potential profit
- $203.78
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $9.95
Polymarket Trader
urakuni
0x21f1918ff0e08010ee78f9433cbfa2ce8da32593
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $464.12
- Realized PnL
- $2.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $354.8
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.31
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Under position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.42
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.06
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $50.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.53
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.61
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.51
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.31
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.66
No position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.82
No position
Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.1
No position
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 68% 667.9 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 2,111.44 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 5,755.6 shares
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under 79% 493.66 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 14% 249.99 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 1,209.97 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 61% 1,151.67 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSpirit 54% 1,164.48 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons 57% 165.67 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons 67.6% 1,103.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 87% 1,438 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.8% 1,307.77 shares