Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $133.95
- Potential payout
- $279.06
- Potential profit
- $145.11
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $36.45
Polymarket Trader
0x21F41E8e53A9ea8F9EaCF4db99961E37f610B8ad-1782397833348
0x21f41e8e53a9ea8f9eacf4db99961e37f610b8ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $133.95
- Realized PnL
- $3.26
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 37.5% 183.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown 88% 5.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown 95% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp 90% 27.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp 90% 27.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown 70% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown 96% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown 96% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown 95% 5.26 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 31% 8.19 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 76.5% 1.33 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 74.7% 1.34 shares