Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.43K
- Potential profit
- $96.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Polymarket Trader
dsfdsddd2
0x21f446c3c5532f1ebfacbd82a190a75fcffd81a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.53K
- Realized PnL
- $17.19K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.75K
- Potential profit
- $19.75K
- User PnL
- -$98.73
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2K
- Potential profit
- $12.2K
- User PnL
- -$499.98
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.07K
- Potential profit
- $12.07K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.05K
- Potential profit
- $12.05K
- User PnL
- -$899.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $11.25K
- Potential profit
- $8.72K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $506.45
No position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.9K
- Potential profit
- $10.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.95K
- Potential profit
- $7.95K
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.27K
- User PnL
- -$14.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$120.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$538.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- User PnL
- -$16.97
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$78.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$97.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$120.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$90.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $930.9
- Potential profit
- $930.9
- User PnL
- -$44.99
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $866.83
- Potential profit
- $866.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.98
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.45
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.24
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.41
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.17
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.07
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.77
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.3
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 11,254.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 81.7% 0.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 18.7% 2,936.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 18.4% 272.31 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes 6.2% 838.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.3% 9,102.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 4% 1,200.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.5% 246 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.8% 782.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 21% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.9% 141.28 shares