Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $250.56
- Potential profit
- $246.67
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Polymarket Trader
0x21f45bb286F55CE8dC5A08FbB443389047dAC5AE-1773058534240
0x21f45bb286f55ce8dc5a08fbb443389047dac5ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.68
- Realized PnL
- $217.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $109.58
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.48
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.48
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.46
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $74.88
- Potential profit
- $74.54
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.63
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.31
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.03
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.07
- Potential payout
- $47.32
- Potential profit
- $35.26
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $40.9
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.14
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $29.26
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $26.3
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $18.46
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $17.69
- Potential profit
- $17.03
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.04
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $13.26
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $6.8
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.58
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.88
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
76ers position
76ers vs. Kings
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.88
76ers position
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.37
76ers position
76ers vs. Hornets
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Spurs position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Bulls
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 2.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 81.3% 2.12 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 5.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Yes 0.9% 109.37 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 36% 6.92 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 19.61 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?No 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Yes 6% 52.63 shares