Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $234.41K
- Potential profit
- $232.65K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$61.65
Polymarket Trader
gandalf
0x21f90e5ff30c12f52fbb2fb220aa268f22faed12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.28K
- Realized PnL
- $99.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $98.85K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $444.94
- Potential payout
- $59.32K
- Potential profit
- $58.88K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$314.48
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $537.72
- Potential payout
- $28.3K
- Potential profit
- $27.76K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $107.15
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $182.87
- Potential payout
- $24.38K
- Potential profit
- $24.2K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.21
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $32.74
- Potential payout
- $21.83K
- Potential profit
- $21.79K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$819.99
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $590
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.41K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $117.84
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$280
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.08K
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $990
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.01K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $144.32
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.81K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$39.08
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $130
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.87K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$49.04
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.81K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$18.22
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.67K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$470
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $867.57
- Potential payout
- $19.99K
- Potential profit
- $19.12K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.17K
- Potential profit
- $17.17K
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $207.92
- Potential payout
- $16.63K
- Potential profit
- $16.43K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$457.42
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $128.5
- Potential payout
- $15.12K
- Potential profit
- $14.99K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.71
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $204.09
- Potential payout
- $15.12K
- Potential profit
- $14.91K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $66.26
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $128.5
- Potential payout
- $15.12K
- Potential profit
- $14.99K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$29.25
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$7.6K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $290.44
- Potential payout
- $12.91K
- Potential profit
- $12.62K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$484.07
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $12.84K
- Potential profit
- $12.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.85K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1K
No position
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.12K
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.09K
Democratic position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
No position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Over position
Will the Eagles score 31 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Sławomir Mentzen win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 11055658.86x
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 1.5% 39,629.15 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 98.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 1.5% 2,019.68 shares
- Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No 24.9% 1,170.53 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 5,117.5 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 8,959 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1% 5,117.5 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 1,589.95 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 2.8% 17,425.18 shares
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.1% 2,525.48 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?Yes 9% 2,350 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes 91% 1,000 shares