Iamwhatyouarenot

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $117.06
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37.8
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.47
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.97
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $22.69
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.8
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $15.66
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $16.29
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $14.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $16.8
Potential profit: $12.1
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $12.72
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $14.98
Potential profit: $12.06
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $10.85
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.51

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.37

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.93

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.73

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET