No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $257.55
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $252.45
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$180.5
Polymarket Trader
13.
0x21fd35e1f024ede3cce934b36f83da563326860c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $882.65
- Realized PnL
- $921.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $206.95
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $96.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $89.99
- Potential payout
- $89.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $15.86
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $54.14
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$49.6
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $55.71
- Potential payout
- $55.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.31
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$37.95
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$43.3
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.6
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Pistons
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump blowout victory?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.64
No position
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.19
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.1
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.9
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.58
No position
OpenAI acquired in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.55
No position
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
Ends Oct 16, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.67
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.89
Yes position
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?
Ends Dec 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.14
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Yes position
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.73
Yes position
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.54
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No 84% 35.71 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 43% 11.63 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 93.5% 70 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?No 94% 38.23 shares
- Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 86% 19.44 shares
- TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No 81% 50 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?No 88.2% 8.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 94.8% 20 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No 99.1% 25 shares
- Deel IPO in 2025?No 94% 180 shares
- Ramp IPO in 2025?No 93% 100 shares
- Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?No 92.4% 47.37 shares