Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $750
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $59.25K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$126.6
Polymarket Trader
rjpoly
0x21fe77f7c7861c5f0a70a26ae86dfbaf1c5eda90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.35K
- Realized PnL
- $17.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $115.35
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $47.01
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.1%
- Current value
- $806.64
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $493.35
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $213.65
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $92.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $216.08
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $133.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$14.06
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $189.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $810.5
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $983.5
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $989.49
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $796.63
- Potential payout
- $842.99
- Potential profit
- $46.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $105.37
No position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $666.05
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $33.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $101.05
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $495.14
- Potential payout
- $673.67
- Potential profit
- $178.52
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $23.39
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.75
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $493.75
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $322.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $177.5
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $467.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.24
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $499.97
- Potential profit
- $496.22
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $32.59
- Potential payout
- $368.29
- Potential profit
- $335.7
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $244.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $55.95
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $20.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $256.85
- Potential payout
- $298.66
- Potential profit
- $41.81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $20.91
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $239.32
- Potential payout
- $260.13
- Potential profit
- $20.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $195.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $54.75
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $161.06
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $158
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
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Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will XRP reach $2.70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.06
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.1
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.66
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $809.36
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.81
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.83
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.99
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.57
No position
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.59
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.2
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.28
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.11
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.75
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.09
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.35
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.31
No position
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.11
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 85% 200 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?No 65% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98% 200 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?No 49% 100 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?No 49% 100 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 90.5% 20 shares
- Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?Yes 42% 40.76 shares
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under 93.8% 200 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Yes 83% 100 shares
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No 48% 99.99 shares
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under 78% 30 shares
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under 78% 20 shares