Polymarket Trader

Boca500

0x222b7a2502af83ef70fe5e1d54d287c30c1cd3fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.46K
Realized PnL: $1.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $215.88
Potential payout: $257
Potential profit: $41.12
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $17.99

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $241.44
Potential payout: $244
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $29.16

No position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $234
Potential profit: $233.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$95.82

Yes position

Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $77.05
Potential payout: $229.99
Potential profit: $152.94
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $10.35

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $23.52
Potential payout: $224
Potential profit: $200.48
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$10.08

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $213.89
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $32.01

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $138.45
Potential payout: $213
Potential profit: $74.55
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$10.65

No position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $82.17
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $115.83
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $18.14
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $175.86
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$2.04

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $140.76
Potential payout: $184
Potential profit: $43.24
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $158.36
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$56.41

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $71.25
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$2.25

Sweden position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $149
User PnL: -$67.05

Rinky Hijikata position

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$105.85

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $52.33
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $62.68
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$24.73

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $23.43
Potential payout: $108.97
Potential profit: $85.54
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$31.06

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $73.8
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.33
Potential profit: $86.33
User PnL: -$30.22

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $59.97
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $33.57

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$15.3

Guara Esports position

Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Team Liquid position

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $18.83
Potential payout: $42.32
Potential profit: $23.49
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $28.22
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.46

Leylah Fernandez position

HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$14.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Safiullin position

Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.78

Camilo Ugo Carabelli position

Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.59

Chwalinska position

Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.56

Over position

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.72

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.08

Karmine Corp position

Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.11

FOKUS position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.42

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.07

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.06

Kyrian Jacquet position

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.32

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.24

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.28

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Under position

Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.94

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.15

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.78

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.9

Siniakova position

Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Siniakova (+1.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.99

paiN Academy position

Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.88

Virtus.pro position

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.6

Minnesota Lynx position

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.26

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.24

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

Team Liquid 44% 42.32 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 60 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 35.9% 159 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 53% 52.03 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 76.9% 52.04 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

No 11.1% 221 shares
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Guara Esports 11% 45 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

No 30% 221 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Top Esports 54% 150 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Yes 15.9% 33 shares
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 50.3% 187.86 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57% 217.6 shares