Yes position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$80.75
Polymarket Trader
DownInNO
0x222f579dd5391bde6e204ea105bf7ae2f8838271
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $9.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $683.4
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $401.36
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$113.44
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $472.1
- Potential profit
- $472.1
- User PnL
- -$239.21
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $54.56
- Potential payout
- $376.26
- Potential profit
- $321.7
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$50.8
No position
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $134.84
- Potential payout
- $143.37
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.31
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $48.5
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $11.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $9.56
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.84
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.63
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.42
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.63
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $292.4
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.32
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.69
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.53
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.13
No position
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.98
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.91
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.7
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.85
Yes position
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.91
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.73
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.7
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.18
No position
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 47% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 6,507.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 2,189.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 146.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 1,543.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 170.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 1,836.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.3% 2,097.32 shares