asdfdd123

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.54
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on July 13?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.82
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.71
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $14.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET