Polymarket Trader

analyst3

0x224708458cd0b8027552e41147b45e44717a4304

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.28
Realized PnL: $3.71
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.6B?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Sells be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.79
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$5.59

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Marcus Smart play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Calma be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.70 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Brigid Duffy record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $17.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.72
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Elite Sport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Real Tec be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Marcus Smart play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Senda be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Rinat be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will RED Canids Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above $125B?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Twofive be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Raptor be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Keyd Stars Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Secret Whales win LCP 2026 Split 2?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Rachel Clark win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will CXMT’s market cap be between 310 billion and 340 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.1%
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: $0

No position

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the margin of victory at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest be 15.25-20 HDBs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ally Kennedy win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will North America Win the Dota EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will South America Win the Dota EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will ARETE Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sam Apuzzo win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $63B?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $35.5B?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Golden Lions win LRS 2026 Split 1?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rachel Clark win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?

No 78% 13.5 shares
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Yes 1% 19.98 shares
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Yes 6% 13.06 shares
Will North America Win the Dota EWC 2026?

Yes 1% 5 shares
Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?

Yes 46% 10 shares
Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?

No 68% 20 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?

Yes 23% 20 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 20 shares
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 19% 16.84 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

No 42% 20 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

No 43% 10 shares
Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?

Yes 71.9% 10.39 shares