Polymarket Trader

252

0x224b255eaa3279ceb77330317d3c38ee8e73f6b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.78K
Realized PnL: $60.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$50.19

Yes position

Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.19

Yes position

Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.19

Yes position

Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.19

Yes position

Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.19

Yes position

Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.19

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $274.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $620.13
Potential profit: $619.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $144.83
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Tony Mack get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $148.58
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.15
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.1
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Natasha Osben get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.75
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $103.1
Potential profit: $92.79
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$13.38

No position

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39K

Yes position

Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Yes position

Will Marc Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP World Championship?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $1.55K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12 AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3 AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4 AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 6,000 shares
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 620.13 shares
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 2.8% 12 shares
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 620.13 shares
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 620.13 shares
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 620.13 shares
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 620.13 shares
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 620.13 shares
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 620.13 shares
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 620.13 shares
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 620.13 shares
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 5,032.2 shares