Polymarket Trader

Manfromlaramie

0x2255af10d01f8f2703d60d943af4ffeb43b339a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $189.63
Realized PnL: $680.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.77
Potential profit: $261.77
User PnL: -$25.13

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$24.24

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $7.72
Potential payout: $144.27
Potential profit: $136.55
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$17.12

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $20.56
Potential payout: $141.83
Potential profit: $121.26
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.63
Potential profit: $141.63
User PnL: -$24.93

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $106.98
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$24.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.96
Potential profit: $96.96
User PnL: -$23.27

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $31.71
Potential payout: $66.76
Potential profit: $35.05
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $7.01

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.91
Potential profit: $60.91
User PnL: -$15.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $59.59
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: -$1.44

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.54
Potential profit: $51.54
User PnL: -$24.74

Yes position

Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $48.34
Potential profit: $36.98
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.18

Vit Kopriva position

Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Kopriva

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.12
Potential profit: $45.12
User PnL: -$8.57

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $20.05
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.4
Potential profit: $40.4
User PnL: -$27.07

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $19.34
Potential payout: $38.29
Potential profit: $18.95
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.23

Tereza Valentova position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentova

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.77
Potential profit: $37.77
User PnL: -$7.83

Gabriel Diallo position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Gabriel Diallo

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.36
Potential profit: $37.36
User PnL: -$11.43

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $34.73
Potential payout: $35.21
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $15.06
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.04
Potential profit: $29.04
User PnL: -$6.97

Ekaterina Alexandrova position

Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.86
Potential profit: $22.86
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.09
Potential profit: $20.09
User PnL: -$2.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.93

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.61

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.03

Shimane Susanoo Magic position

Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Shimane Susanoo Magic

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.21

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Under position

AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.24

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $24.89

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Under position

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.56

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.75

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Chicago Cubs position

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Under position

Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Andre Ilagan position

Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.61

Under position

Hannover 96 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17.5% 141.83 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 53.7% 38.29 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

No 37% 66.76 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Yes 27.3% 59.59 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 17.2% 144.27 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 30% 48.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 80% 11.4 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

No 79% 2.95 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?

No 87% 4.42 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?

No 88% 4.22 shares
Brasov: Olle Wallin vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Frederico Ferreira Silva 47% 7.92 shares
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

No 90% 5.6 shares