Polymarket Trader

0x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-1756591558414

0x225b7c9aaf6108ded29b9fda9939aa671ef6422a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.05K
Realized PnL: $20.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.78K
Potential profit: $77.78K
User PnL: -$331.02

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $14.67K
Potential payout: $17.78K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.4K

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$238.97

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$94.88

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$694.34

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: $136.1

Yes position

Will Sorry Baby be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$51.91

Yes position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$25.46

Yes position

Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$63.5

Yes position

Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921
Potential profit: $921
User PnL: -$53.61

Yes position

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $838.77
Potential profit: $838.77
User PnL: -$72.3

No position

Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $825.31
Potential profit: $825.31
User PnL: -$118.56

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $817
Potential profit: $817
User PnL: -$178.92

No position

Will "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $709.14
Potential profit: $709.14
User PnL: -$294.14

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$44.25

Yes position

Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$81

No position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.1
Potential profit: $479.1
User PnL: -$19.86

No position

Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.24
Potential profit: $422.24
User PnL: -$31.39

Yes position

Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.09

Yes position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 125k and 150k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $994.1

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $858.22

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.02

No position

Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.12

Yes position

Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515

No position

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $346.86

Yes position

Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.91

No position

Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.4

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.69

No position

Will Trump attend UFC 322?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.01

No position

Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.65

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.76

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.19

No position

Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.9

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.5

No position

Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.63

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 80% 206.7 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 55% 1,111 shares
Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 37% 300 shares
Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 41.1% 398 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 21.9% 40 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 21.9% 777 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 7% 518 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 6.4% 297.09 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 4.6% 296.57 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 3.7% 522 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 3% 589 shares
Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?

Yes 84% 34.23 shares