Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $31.24
- Potential payout
- $856
- Potential profit
- $824.76
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Polymarket Trader
Stainese
0x2272e78030fee4e1a9f6c6752aa6942a0e45bd16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.24
- Realized PnL
- $22.78
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $18.56
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$24.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 3.2% 800 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 4.7% 800 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 11% 927.99 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Yes 7% 680 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 94.3% 414 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 93.2% 414 shares