Polymarket Trader

falcon911

0x227819d92a1c9eec5f70d7786952fd82d8a0ad2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.51
Realized PnL: -$8.85
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $109.38
Potential profit: $105.16
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.21
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $34.4
Potential payout: $40.23
Potential profit: $5.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $35.64
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 87% 40.23 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Yes 0.3% 277.77 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 87.3% 34.36 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 109.38 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 30.7% 35.64 shares
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 53% 20.67 shares