Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Sergey-
0x227a67dfb4fa82fd1fb4b2ac4ccba23b2cde3efa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.43
- Realized PnL
- $74.01
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $212.43
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$119.27
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.42
- Potential profit
- $199.42
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.42
- Potential profit
- $15.42
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.67
- Potential profit
- $7.67
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 130 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 77% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.8% 50 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 80% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21% 10 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 48% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 52% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 32% 50 shares
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?Yes 3% 10 shares