Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $67.32
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.56
Polymarket Trader
Alchemista1
0x227aac5d31a65e230f856c54c5e5154e16851a18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $239.85
- Realized PnL
- $20.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.63
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Ilbirs eSports position
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Ilbirs eSports position
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Keyd position
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
PlayTime position
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Under position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Procyon Gaming position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
the bug position
Dota 2: the bug vs GG Boom (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
N
No position
Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Algeria?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Under position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 9?Yes 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?No 99% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 10?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 10?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 9?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 9?Yes 99.2% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?No 99.9% 10 shares