Polymarket Trader

Longicaudatus

0x227f07b77298c4fd5f63a0ef14d77d2de18441e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11
Realized PnL: $4.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.36
Potential profit: $228.36
User PnL: -$52.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $219
User PnL: -$11.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.41
Potential profit: $216.41
User PnL: -$196.93

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $205.69
Potential profit: $194.69
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$46

No position

Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.99
Potential profit: $192.99
User PnL: -$27.9

Yes position

Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.29
Potential profit: $163.29
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $159
User PnL: -$2.07

No position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.17
Potential profit: $155.17
User PnL: -$72.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 40°F or higher on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.47
Potential profit: $153.47
User PnL: -$50.65

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$7.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.61
Potential profit: $148.61
User PnL: -$23.11

Yes position

Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.58
Potential profit: $148.58
User PnL: -$8.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Florida position

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $625.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.23

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.85

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.45

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.02

Yes position

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.83

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.82

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

No position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Curtis Blaydes 54% 27.01 shares
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Renato Moicano 45% 32.23 shares
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Renato Moicano 43% 33.69 shares
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)

Robert Ruchala 35.6% 37.84 shares
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)

Stewart Nicoll 22% 86.65 shares
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Tabatha Ricci 46% 31.55 shares
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Brendson Ribeiro 10% 94.6 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ethyn Ewing 55% 17.69 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 3.4% 200 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 3.3% 5.69 shares
Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1.3% 159 shares
Will Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 0.8% 500 shares