Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $237.17
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$325.88
Polymarket Trader
Latebus
0x2288d665507b64b6b4687fd633cbab7346fda717
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $257.45
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $308.28
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $82.19
- Potential profit
- $75.57
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.08
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.73
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- $55.32
Lui position
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.37
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.47
Heat position
Rockets vs. Heat
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.51
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $21.38
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.38
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
76ers position
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Knicks
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 530.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 17% 1,117.65 shares
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes 3% 166.67 shares
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes 73.3% 268.8 shares
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes 36.7% 214.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 15% 535.71 shares
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes 37.7% 145.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 15.6% 357.14 shares
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes 40% 178.13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 15.1% 476.19 shares