Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $305.43
- Potential payout
- $754.16
- Potential profit
- $448.73
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$13.57
Polymarket Trader
0x2295...fae8
0x2295a596632a8e19ee6783e1df2188df9b32fae8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $382.7
- Realized PnL
- $88.15
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $77.26
- Potential payout
- $195.6
- Potential profit
- $118.34
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.98
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.45
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.24
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.96
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 42.3% 754.16 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 43% 1,224.25 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 44% 1,733.49 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 34% 63.51 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 34% 560.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No 99.3% 51.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No 98.7% 305.6 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 64% 11.27 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 36% 86.41 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 35% 710.33 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 64% 505.18 shares
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 1.6% 15.51 shares