Polymarket Trader

homaki

0x2298c203d9921555a008d85770d7710871989f33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $423.68
Realized PnL: $496.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $187.01
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$87.03

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $186.7
Potential payout: $197.67
Potential profit: $10.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $101.7

Yes position

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $19.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.63
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $21.5
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.89
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $18.63
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $20.44
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$2.79

No position

Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.13
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $21.99
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Oct 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.25
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $17.38
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $17.37
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $9.62

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $24.16
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.8%
Current value: $18.69
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $6.31
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $11.16
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $12.84
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $9.72

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $22.05
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Yes 64% 25 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

No 38% 15 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

No 34% 7.05 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

No 14% 25 shares
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?

No 16% 25 shares
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 13.6% 25 shares
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 93% 25 shares
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

No 14% 25 shares
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by September 30?

Yes 97.7% 25 shares
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

No 7% 25 shares
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?

No 27% 25 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

No 9% 25 shares