Polymarket Trader

Jafalco

0x229a8531d39e1e09f5fcf577938c0f22e403701f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.85
Realized PnL: $77.72
Win rate: 76.9%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.44
Potential profit: $257.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $250.98
Potential profit: $248.85
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$7.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.35
Potential profit: $115.35
User PnL: -$66.32

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $74.47
Potential profit: $73.58
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$4.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.25
Potential profit: $51.25
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.23
Potential profit: $39.23
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.1
Potential profit: $38.1
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$5.58

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.79
Potential profit: $34.79
User PnL: -$9.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Diddy released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $25.18
Potential profit: $21.35
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.38
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $18.63
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.51
Potential profit: $24.51
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.74
Potential profit: $17.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Down 53% 9.43 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 400 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 16% 22.38 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 97% 19.96 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing 99.6% 14.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 21% 38.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Up 27% 3.7 shares
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Yes 40.8% 24.51 shares
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Yes 12.2% 39.23 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 55.1% 19.97 shares