Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $99.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$62.25
Polymarket Trader
abc3
0x22a42db19a1dd2d7c214e1043a6c557c8eec13e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $138.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $861.49
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $121.6
- Potential payout
- $615.71
- Potential profit
- $494.11
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $23.09
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $108.4
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $93.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $44.64
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $51.36
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$7.87
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $59.41
- Potential payout
- $72.91
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.73
Y
Yes position
Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48.9
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $51.45
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $59.55
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $40.49
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $36.72
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$10.2
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $30.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.1
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$38.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.2%
- Current value
- $30.6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Y
Yes position
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $42.4
- Potential payout
- $46.34
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.59
N
No position
Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
N
No position
Will Marconi Perillo win the Governor of Goiás election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $21.29
- Potential payout
- $24.75
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Guy Den Ouden position
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.49
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.2
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.2
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.77
Up position
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.9
100 Thieves position
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.76
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.67
ex-RUBY position
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.32
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.87
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $43.44
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.39
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.73
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.44
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.43
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.31
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 84% 150 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 1.2% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?Yes 24% 59.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?No 62.1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?No 90.6% 60 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 2% 91 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 96% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 19.21 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 94.2% 79.34 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 91% 70 shares