Polymarket Trader

Juanc433

0x22a9a418f2d5322c889a38b984f38261ba07e7e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.67K
Realized PnL: -$41.5
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77K
User PnL: -$16.72

Yes position

Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$147.93

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $730.82
Potential profit: $730.82
User PnL: -$11.82

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.75
Potential profit: $627.75
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.07
Potential profit: $222.07
User PnL: -$11

Real Madrid position

Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.94
Potential profit: $219.94
User PnL: -$45.4

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.66
Potential profit: $195.66
User PnL: -$76.7

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.13
Potential profit: $160.13
User PnL: -$24.02

Real Madrid position

Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.57
Potential profit: $153.57
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.21
Potential profit: $134.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.82
Potential profit: $117.82
User PnL: -$20.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.96
Potential profit: $110.96
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.42
Potential profit: $96.42
User PnL: -$29.89

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Gold hit $3,400 before June?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.89
Potential profit: $64.89
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.59

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.06

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.72

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.94

Inter Milan position

Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54

Yes position

Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

North Korea missile launch by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.41

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$193.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 18.31 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 5% 80 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 4% 78.94 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 51% 81.81 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.8% 78.95 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 11% 81.82 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 93% 6.92 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 80% 6.93 shares
Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?

Yes 69% 42.67 shares