Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.21
- Potential profit
- $118.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x22A9D4392E4B6b57a000A5127B2846CdE7fcc08C-1761166880442
0x22a9d4392e4b6b57a000a5127b2846cde7fcc08c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.03
- Realized PnL
- $176.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $102.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.9
- Potential profit
- $61.9
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.86
- Potential profit
- $32.86
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $18.03
- Potential payout
- $32.48
- Potential profit
- $14.46
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.13
- Potential profit
- $23.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.76
- Potential profit
- $19.76
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.55
- Potential profit
- $14.55
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.89
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.32
- Potential profit
- $12.32
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.06
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.04
- Potential profit
- $11.04
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Up position
FactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.07
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.36
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $3.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will South Africa win?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No 30.8% 32.48 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 22.5% 60.6 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.4% 86.95 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37.3% 55.24 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?27% 14.81 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.8% 102.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown 16% 6.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp 31% 3.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 39% 5.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 32% 3.13 shares