Polymarket Trader

degenwifhat

0x22ae2ba7b96bc5841ae1fa47ae334937f6cbe3f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.5K
Realized PnL: -$23.06
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $451.54
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $8.86K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$59.9

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $259.79
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $61.13

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $26.68
Potential payout: $970
Potential profit: $943.33
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $404.92
Potential payout: $952.76
Potential profit: $547.84
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $46.55

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $141.4
Potential payout: $808.02
Potential profit: $666.62
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $105.79
Potential payout: $543.89
Potential profit: $438.11
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $22.52

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $452.14
Potential profit: $452.14
User PnL: -$7.69

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $29.48
Potential payout: $415.82
Potential profit: $386.34
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$8.76

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $49.6
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $270.4
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.83
Potential profit: $278.83
User PnL: -$5.58

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $207
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.01
Potential profit: $77.01
User PnL: -$27.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.53
Potential profit: $74.53
User PnL: -$3.73

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $33.82

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.87

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$8.52

No position

Starmer out by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.4

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 70 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20.6% 5 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 11.5% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?

Yes 11.8% 100 shares
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8% 1,900 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 13.6% 20 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 900 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.5% 2,859.78 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 16% 320 shares
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

No 12% 50 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.5% 200 shares