Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $260.09
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $359.91
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $153.49
Polymarket Trader
Dumpahhh
0x22b090adc980a2ed38f38635313c83a880ddef31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $467.12
- Realized PnL
- $4.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $115.32
- Potential payout
- $354.82
- Potential profit
- $239.5
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $30.12
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $348.11
- Potential profit
- $347.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.71
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $51.94
- Potential payout
- $107.1
- Potential profit
- $55.16
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $21.04
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $76.49
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Y
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $34.26
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.02
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.42
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.37
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.4
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.99
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes 31.3% 80.52 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 520 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 27.9% 24.51 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 27% 135 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 3.9% 143.13 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 13.7% 54.98 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes 15% 30.27 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 8.8% 50 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 7.3% 155 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 26% 55 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 24% 35 shares