No position
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Polymarket Trader
438ru49r84fh9
0x22b8ccc14b894a4800453d7ca0a54055181018df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.45
- Realized PnL
- $160.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.62
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.54
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 27 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
KT Rolster Challengers position
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will London have 70mm or more of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?Yes 32% 10 shares
- Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?No 89% 11.24 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 61% 28.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 75% 64.93 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 76.9% 42.85 shares
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes 47% 75 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 31.1% 107.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 55% 50.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 65% 46.15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 13% 357.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 59% 50.85 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes 35% 52.64 shares