Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$15.01
Polymarket Trader
0x22BFDbCe977910d559672F37A33882B04CDE8642-1769113072053
0x22bfdbce977910d559672f37a33882b04cde8642
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $234.43
- Realized PnL
- $274.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $79.86
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$118.14
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $151.81
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$89.7
Y
Yes position
Australia to score first vs. United States?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $678.5
- Potential profit
- $678.5
- User PnL
- -$29.1
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.05
- Potential profit
- $601.05
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.77
- Potential profit
- $558.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.86
- Potential profit
- $392.86
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.64
- Potential profit
- $283.64
- User PnL
- -$18.49
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.62
- Potential profit
- $222.62
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.19
- Potential profit
- $203.19
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.47
- Potential profit
- $188.47
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.89
- Potential profit
- $184.89
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $163.92
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.69
- Potential profit
- $158.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.36
- Potential profit
- $131.36
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.9
- Potential profit
- $105.9
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
Yes position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.8%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.83
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 55% 1.82 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 69% 1.45 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes 40% 2.5 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?25% 3.87 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 57.2% 1.75 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 60% 3.33 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 72% 4.17 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 74% 4.05 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 15.22 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 43% 2.33 shares